Article written

  • on 28.02.2012
  • at 08:55 PM
  • by KT

Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Betting Preview & Odds

The Supreme Novices’ Hurdle is a great curtain-raiser to the Cheltenham Festival. The anticipation building up to the race is unprecedented in National Hunt racing and as tape is raised the famous Cheltenham roar immediately follows .

The race is a Grade 1 run over 2 miles and half a furlong and is for horses aged four and older. Supreme Novices’ Hurdle often attracts a big field hence why many favourites fail to get over the line in front (just 2 of the last 18).

Over recent years the race has thrown up some great stars of the future, many of which have gone on to become Champion Hurdle winners; with Hors La Loi III and Brave Inca being the two most noticeable.

Al Ferof won the race last year under a great ride up the famous Cheltenham hill from jockey Ruby Walsh. Trainer Paul Nicholls trained runner held off stiff competition from Spirit Son and Sprinter Sacre on that occasion; both trained by Nicky Henderson.

Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Trends

  • 13 of the last 18 winners won their last race.
  • The last 10 winners had all won at least half of their hurdle starts.
  • 8 of the last 10 winners were aged 5 or 6.
  • 13 of the last 15 winners had ran at least 3 times that season.
  • 14 of the last 15 winners had ran at least one race during that calendar year.
  • 6 of the last 10 winners were Irish trained.
  • 12 of the last 18 winners had never run at Cheltenham before
  • Just 2 of the last 18 winners went off favourite.

Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Odds

Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Tips

This year’s Supreme Novices’ Hurdle betting looks as wide open as ever, with Darlan being the current ante-post favourite at time of writing. Nicky Henderson’s runner was cruising when AP McCoy came off with 2 hurdles left to jump (before being trampled on!) at Newbury in the Betfair Hurdle. Although the horse has good form around Cheltenham, having won here in December, and is the most likley winner on paper, he is one we will be looking to avoid at the price, given such a big field.

Steps To Freedom is another runner with big claims. Whilst his form is not as impressive as Darlan on paper, he is comparatively unexposed and ticks all of the right boxes when it comes to analysing the Cheltenham trends. And importantly, he also has a course win against his name. At around 7/1 he may represent some value.

Dermot Weld’s six year old runner Galileo’s Choice may be the answer. The horse put in some classy prformances on the Flat finishing well ahead of Midnight Game at Fairyhouse in December, and at around 8/1 looks a great each-way bet to get the Festival off to a flying start!

Supreme Novices’ Hurdle Offers

Having an each-way bet on the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle? If so SkyBet are paying 5 places, as well as offering a £10 free bet for all new customers!

If you are looking to place a win-only bet on the race however, then Unibet are worth a look. If you place a bet of £20 or more, and Darlan wins the race, they will refund your losing stake.

Other Cheltenham Festival Race Previews

Day 1 (Tuesday)

Arkle Chase »
*Champion Hurdle »

Day 2 (Wednesday)

RSA Chase »
*Queen Mother Champion Chase »

Day 3 (Thursday)

Ryanair Chase »
*Ladbrokes World Hurdle »

Day 4 (Friday)

*Cheltenham Gold Cup »

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