Article written

  • on 20.04.2012
  • at 06:44 AM
  • by KT

Mourinho 17/4 to claim first win over Catalan rivals

Real Madrid will still be top of La Liga come Sunday morning, but the question on everybody’s lips is by how much.

They start the weekend four points above fierce rivals Barcelona, but with Saturday’s final El Clasico of the season edging ever closer, the could could easily be down to just a single point.

Whilst they have scored goals and won games for fun since Mourinho arrived at the Bernabéu, one problem still remains – they simply can’t beat Barcelona.

Since The Special One took charge he has lead his side into ten El Clasicos… and failed to win a single one inside 90 minutes. The only time they have got the better of their Catalan opponents was in the Copa Del Rey final, a game they won in extra-time.

But if he can finally get a win over Pep Guardiola’s men this time around (17/4 to do so according to Boylesports), they will all but wrap up the La Liga title for this season.

Even a draw at the Nou Camp (3/1, Bet365) would mean they remained red-hot favourites for the Spanish title (currently 4/11, Paddy Power), but with a potential all-Spanish Champions League final on the horizon, a win at the Nou Camp would remove a huge psychological barrier and give Real a huge lift going into their semi-final against Bayern Munich on Wednesday.

Barca come into this game deservedly 4/6 favourites (Bet365) having won 27 of their 30 home games this season (remaining unbeaten in the other three) and if they get the three points then the 12/5 with Ladbrokes for the title will look a decent price.

Much of the pre-match discussion will revolve around Lionel Messi (4/6 to score anytime, Bet365) and Cristiano Ronaldo (6/4, Victor Chandler) – having each scored 41 league goals for their respective clubs this term.

It is worth noting that while Barcelona have relied heavily on Messi’s goals this season, Real have had another two players to net more than 25 goals each in the form of  Karim Benzema (17/2 first goalscorer, Bet365) and Gonzalo Higuain (9/1, Victor Chandler).

Recent El Clasico’s have been ill-tempered affairs and one particular market that catches the eye is the ‘First Team Booked’ market (Barca 5/4, Real Madrid 4/7 - Sporting Bet). With Pepe and Sergio Ramos in the side, Real Madrid look a great price there!

And remember, if you are having a bet on the game, consider placing it at Paddy Power who will refund all losing first/last goalscorer, correct score and scorecast bets if Messi or Ronaldo scores the first goal.

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