Article written

  • on 12.08.2011
  • at 11:43 AM
  • by KT

Newcastle Utd v Arsenal Preview

Newcastle and Arsenal get their Barclays Premier League campaigns underway in the Saturday evening kick-off, with armchair fans hoping for a game half as exciting as the spectacle these two clubs put on last time they met.

Who could forget this fixture last term. Arsenal lead 4-0 after just 26 minutes, only for the hosts to fight back and earn a dramatic 4-4 draw thanks to a long range Cheick Tiote volley.

Unsurprisingly Arsenal come into this as favourites (11/10 – Bet365) whilst Newcastle are 11/4 (Boylesports) to get their season off the a flyer and take the 3 points. A draw can be backed at 12/5 (Paddy Power) and a repeat of the 4-4 draw is 300/1 with Skybet!

Probable Line-Ups

Newcastle v Arsenal - Betting Preview

With the news that Cesc Fabrages and Samir Nasri look to be following Gael Clichy out of The Emirates, Arsenal’s squad looks to be very think on the ground. They did make and approach to sign Juan Mata earlier in the transfer window when Barcelona upped their pursuit of Fabregas, but that deal now looks to be dead on the water with the Gunners failing to meet the £18m release clause in time.

Add to that the injury doubts over Jack Wilshere, Abou Diaby and Robin Van Persie and Wenger’s side seem to appear to be up against it before a ball has been kicked.

Arsene Wenger

This season is make or break for Arsene Wenger. A seventh trophy-less season beckons unless the Frenchman can galvanise his squad and move his young players from the ‘potential’ pile and turn them into Premier League stars.

They have spent £12m on bringing in Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain from Southampton, but many Arsenal fans belive they need to strengthen in other areas, namely the defence, if they are to cement a top four finish this season. Scott Dann and Phil Jagielka have been two names touted about, but neither deal has materialised as yet.

Meanwhile, Newcastle have also had to overcome significant problems of their own. First Kevin Nolan moved to West Ham (he chipped in with 12 goals last season) and the Geordie outfit will be relying on new signings Demba Ba and Gabriel Obertan to score the goals this time around.

The Magpies appear to have lost their left back too, with Jose Enrique’s proposed move to Liverpool expected to go through before the season starts.

Joey Barton also appeared to be leaving the club, only for him to make a dramatic u-turn and make up with owner Mike Ashley. It remains to be seen whether manager Alan Pardew is ready to pick Barton in the first team after spending most of the summer training with the reserves.

Steve Harper and James Perch are sidelined for the start of the season, whilst Danny Guthrie is also a doubt for the opening weekend. Hatem Ben Arfa is looking to make a comeback following his broken ankle, yet this game may come a little too soon for him too.

Match Stats

  • Arsenal had the best away record in the Premier League last season, picking up 31 points away from home (Champions Man Utd picked up just 25) and scoring 39 goals (closest was Chelsea with 30).
  • The Gunners have won just one of their last 11 matches in all competitions away from the Emirates Stadium.
  • The Magpies have lost just one of their last nine Premier League games at St James’ Park.
  • Newcastle’s home games averaged 3.58 goals per game last season, the highest in the Premier League.
  • Newcastle have kept just one clean sheet intheir last 11 Premier League matches.
  • Robin van Persie has scored five goals in eight appearances against Newcastle.
  • Van Persie has scored in his last nine away games, a Premier League record.

Summary

It’s clear that both teams have seletions problems, whether that be through selling players or injury. With that in mind it is difficult to assess how each team’s performances wil compare to those of last season.

Van Persie was in great form towards the back-end of last season and has an excellent record against Newcastle. The Magpies do seem to be overpriced however and we wouldn’t be surprised if they were to sneak the victory.

All the scoring stats point towards a high scoring affair and so the Overs/Unders betting is where we will be looking to invest on this occasion.

Recommended Bets:

  • Tip #1: Over 2.5 goals @ 10/11 (William Hill) – 3 points win
  • Tips #2: Over 3.5 goals @ 9/4 (William Hill) – 0.5 points win
  • Tip #3: Newcastle 3-1 @ 14/1 (Boylesports) – 0.5 Points win

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