Article written

  • on 08.04.2013
  • at 02:06 PM
  • by KT

2013 US Masters Tips & Preview

The first Golf Major of the year gets underway later this week at the stunning Augusta National and the US Masters betting looks as open as ever!

This time last year it looked like Tiger Woods’ best days were behind him and Rory McIlroy was set to dominate the sport for the next few years. But instead Tiger has just reclaimed the Number 1 spot and Rory has struggled for form coming into the 2013 Masters.

And although the Europeans take up 5 of the top 10 places in the World rankings, there hasn’t been a European winner since 1999 when Spaniard José María Olazábal took the title.

Remember we tipped up Bubba Watson at a huge 55/1 for last year’s event so take a look though our Masters preview when choosing who you think will be donning the famous Green Jacket come Sunday evening.

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Key Pointers »
Likely Contenders »
Tips »
Offers »
Masters Records »

US MASTERS – KEY POINTERS

Back an outsider
Four of the last six winners have started the tournament at 100/1 or bigger, so don’t be afraid to look for the value. Of course most punters will pile into Woods, McIlrory and Mickelson, but it might be wise to look beyond them given the prices. After all who would have predicted wins for Schwartzel, Immelman or Cabrera in recent years.

Avoid debutants
Barring the first two champions (Horton Smith in 1934 and Gene Sarazen, 1935), Fuzzy Zoeller is the only player to win the Masters on his first appearance. Jason Day’s 276 was the lowest round for a debutant to date, but despite an incredible performance in 2011 he was still two shots of the lead.

Avoid the Aussies
There have been no Australian winners in the history of the Masters. Greg Norman came closest but blew a 6 shot lead in 1996. Adam Scott was odds-on however when leading in 2011, until eventual winner Charl Schwartzel went on an unbelievable
birdie spree to scupper the Aussie’s chances.

Consider the Americans
Americans have won 2 of the last 5 and if you were to go back further in the record books it becomes obvious that they have dominated at Augusta, having won 10 of the last 16 tournaments.

Look beyond big hitters
It is a myth that only big hitters do well at Augusta. Of course long, straight driving is an advantage in any golf tournament but you only have to look at José María Olazábal, Mark O’Meara and recent winners Zach Johnson and Mike Weir; none of which were renowned for their length off the tee.

…but DO focus on good putters
Whilst its difficult to pin-point the exact profile of a good Masters player, one thing that is crucial is putting. Ok last year’s winner Bubba Watson is more renowned for his long game than his short, but everything he hit went in last year and anyone who has good putting stats has to be on the shortlist.

Take a look at the Lefties
Left-handers have won 5 of the last 10 tournaments here (Mickleson x1, Wier and Watson) which may suggest a bias towards left-handed players, especially as they account for less than 10% of the field.

Don’t be afraid to bet in-play, but focus on the top of the leaderboard
2011’s winner was tied 7th after round one and that’s the furthest back any winner has been in seven years after day one.

Back hole-in-one at 16
In the last 9 years there have been 9 hole-in-ones, with all-but-one coming at the 16th. We advised this bet last year (at 9/4) and there were 2 hole-in-ones, both at the 16th. No-one has such a market up yet but we’ll keep an eye out and update the post if/when it becomes available.

*EDIT – Boylesports are offering 2/1 for the first Hole-in-One to come at the 16th.

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LIKELY CONTENDERS

Brandt Snedeker comes into this in superb form and has to be on the shortlist. He has had 4 top 10 finishes in his 7 events this year, including a win, a 2nd and a 3rd. Whilst he is not the longest hitter he is 2nd on both the GIR and scrambling stats, showing that he is consistent, steady player but can get out of trouble when he needs to, skills which are essential for any Masters contender.

Another American who could go close is Matt Kuchar. The recently crowned WGC Matchplay champion looks superb E/W value at 35/1. He finished T3 at the Masters last year and has 3 top 10 finishes to his name already this year

Lee Westwood’s last three trips to the Masters have seen him finish 2nd, T11 and T3 and with that has given his backers plenty to cheer in recent years. He finished T5 on his return to action in Dubai recently too and whilst he will need to hole more putts than he normally does to win here, 2/1 for another Top 10 finish looks like decent value for such a consistent player.

32 year old Adam Scott has finished T2 and T8 at Augusta in the last two years and even though there has been no Aussie winner here to date, he looks like another player set to go close and 9/4 to complete a hat-trick of Top 10 finishes looks like a decent price.

If you’re looking for a big-priced outsider you could do worse than Zach Johnson. The American has finished in the Top 6 in 4 of his last 8 events and won here back in 2007. He hasn’t been in contention since but seems to have found some form of late and at 125/1 to claim his 2nd Green Jacket might be worth a pound or two each-way.

Of the six Amateurs lining up, Steven Fox and Ian Dunbar look to be the two main contenders to come out on top. The Northern-Irishman Dunbar qualifies after winning the British Amateur Championship and has Major experience by playing in the Open Championship last Summer. His game suits the Links courses however and 5/2 for Fox to be Top Amateur here looks to be a very good price. Whilst this is his debut Major Championship he has played in two PGA Tour events earlier this year and beat the World Amateur Number 1 on his way to qualifying for this event.

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US MASTERS TIPS

Outright

  • Brandt Snedeker E/W @ 35/1
  • Matt Kuchar E/W @ 35/1
  • Zach Johnson E/W @ 125/1

Top 10 Finish

Top Amateur

Specials

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OFFERS

VC Bet will refund all losing Outright bets if Tiger Woods OR Rory McIlroy win The Masters.

Ladbrokes will refund losing bets (as a free bet) if a British or Irish player wins the tournament.

Coral will refund any losing Outrights bets (as a free bet) if your selection is 2nd to Tiger Woods.

Sporting Bet and Paddy Power are offering 6 places on each-way bets.

SkyBet are offering all new customers a £10 free bet (no deposit) when they signup.

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US MASTERS RECORDS

– Jack Nicklaus has won the most Masters titles, is the record holder for the most top tens, (22) and the most cuts made (37).
– He was also the oldest winner at 46 years, 82 days.
– Tiger Woods is the youngest winner of the Masters at 21 years, 104 days.
– Woods also holds the records for the widest winning margin (12 shots), and lowest winning score (270, −18).
– Matteo Manassero became both the youngest player ever, and the youngest to make the cut at 16 years, 356 days in 2010.
– Gary Player holds the record for most appearances (52).
– Nick Price and Greg Norman share the Augusta course record of 63 (1986 and 1996 respectively).
– Anthony Kim holds the record for most birdies in a round (11)

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